Back in May I asked what happens when up to €5 billion of Pillar II savings gets released into the economy. The Bank of Lithuania numbers are in, and the answer is less dramatic than the debate was:
more than €3 billion withdrawn, by over half a million people,
about 72% of it still sitting in bank accounts,
€450 million taken out in cash, only around 1% reinvested.
So most of the "stimulus" is parked, not spent. The governor's view is that if €0.5 to 1.5 billion reaches consumption, it covers the hit from energy prices. Maybe. I'd watch deposits, not shop tills.
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